Tough Times In The Forecast Business

The weather pattern during the past month or so has been unusually difficult to forecast.


You might recall that a series of weak cold fronts stalled right over Texoma earlier this autumn, making for a wide range of observed conditions across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. Some of you got rain and cool temperatures while other Texomans baked in one of the driest Septembers on record. Those fronts stopped here because they were “left behind” by upper level winds.


A weather system detaching from the main upper wind flow creates uncertainty as it wobbles about, until it gets pushed one way or the other. That’s what happened with those fronts a few weeks back…and what’s been happening with the upper low this week.


Persistent high winds around this low have mixed daily to ground level, making it very windy each afternoon since Monday. Interaction between a surface low over the Carolinas and a high-pressure cell centered in Wisconsin further aided the very strong winds Wednesday.

The strong winds have created a high fire danger despite the recent rainfall. I hope that you will avoid any outdoor burning until the winds drop off. This should happen perhaps on Friday…and again on Sunday.


There is virtually no chance of rain through next Wednesday as Gulf moisture remains well to our south. 


Take Care,

Steve LaNore
Chief Meteorologist











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