Tough Times In The Forecast Business

The weather pattern during the past month or so has been unusually difficult to forecast.

  

You might recall that a series of weak cold fronts stalled right over Texoma earlier this autumn, making for a wide range of observed conditions across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. Some of you got rain and cool temperatures while other Texomans baked in one of the driest Septembers on record. Those fronts stopped here because they were “left behind” by upper level winds.

  

A weather system detaching from the main upper wind flow creates uncertainty as it wobbles about, until it gets pushed one way or the other. That’s what happened with those fronts a few weeks back…and what’s been happening with the upper low this week.

  

Persistent high winds around this low have mixed daily to ground level, making it very windy each afternoon since Monday. Interaction between a surface low over the Carolinas and a high-pressure cell centered in Wisconsin further aided the very strong winds Wednesday.

The strong winds have created a high fire danger despite the recent rainfall. I hope that you will avoid any outdoor burning until the winds drop off. This should happen perhaps on Friday…and again on Sunday.

 

There is virtually no chance of rain through next Wednesday as Gulf moisture remains well to our south. 

 

Take Care,

Steve LaNore
Chief Meteorologist
KXII-TV

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Comments are posted from viewers like you and do not always reflect the views of this station.
  • by Vern Laing Location: Sherman on Nov 13, 2007 at 06:09 AM
    I like your analysis under my credentialing. I'll continue to monitor it as it relates to clinical practice. Your really doing the public a service now, people will catch on!
  • by Serena Location: Denison on Nov 12, 2007 at 06:22 AM
    I think that you always do a good job with the weather. It is tough to predict some things, but you keep us informed anyway. Good job Steve (Tom and Megan too) yall are the best.
  • by Kaya Location: Durant on Oct 19, 2007 at 04:58 PM
    This happens every time I get nervous about my car being outside in a thunderstorm and clear out a space in the garage so I can put the car in. You have a very good theory, Mr. LaNore, but I'm SURE that I am the cause. Keep up the good work! I think your presentations are excellent.
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