Steve's Winter 2007-2008 Outlook

If you’re wondering about the upcoming winter, we’ll be dominated by a moderate LaNina pattern. This weather scenario is typified by a jet stream diving southeastward over the eastern half of the United States. Thus, the storm track generally remains to our north.

 

This has two effects:  1) It steers most of the stronger low-pressure areas away from us, keeping it drier than average, and 2) It generally makes for above normal temperatures.

 

 You might ask, “is this because of global warming?”. Hardly. Global warming is a long-term climate change over a span of many years; a single cold or warm season means nothing. A trend of warmer temperatures has certainly been observed since about 1980.

 

 

Nevertheless, the rationale for my forecast of a fairly warm and dry winter has nothing to do with global warming…and everything to do with LaNina.

 

One other feature during LaNina years is of note. Although the winter as a whole should be milder than average, there are often one or two very cold arctic outbreaks that punctuate this regime. The winter of 1989-1990 is a good example of this.  While that winter as a whole was quite mild, we had a “doozie” of a cold spell right around Christmas, when record lows were set. It was also a very dry winter.

 

 

 As always, time will tell…but that’s my best guess as of November 5th, 2007.

If you have a question, please contact me at weather@kxii.com.

 

Take Care,

 

Steve LaNore

 

 

Chief Meteorologist

KXII-TV
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Comments are posted from viewers like you and do not always reflect the views of this station.
  • by Paul Location: Hugo on Nov 20, 2007 at 09:06 PM
    So does this all mean that Hugo won't see much snow?
  • by Your Friends From Whitesboro Location: Whitesboro on Nov 13, 2007 at 12:03 PM
    You were exactly right!!!! This past weekend was PERFECT for driving the Talimena Drive!!! We took the RV up through there and it was just BEAUTIFUL!!! The color was fantastic!
  • by al Location: denison on Nov 13, 2007 at 10:48 AM
    for amber in durant, Chill if u watch our weather patterns and the almanac you may understand. Steve is saying and doing what all weather men are doing.. His JOB! so go to college and stugy weather then spoot off kk?
  • by Steve Location: Whitesboro on Nov 12, 2007 at 10:10 AM
    I believe the whole global warming issue is a huge scare tatict plot. I believe the earth goes through natural cool and warm periods.
  • by M Location: Denison on Nov 12, 2007 at 09:55 AM
    Wow, I agree Amber was a bit hostile. If one reads what Steve has to say, he still references artic blasts. So, we can have a warmer and drier winter but still have snow and ice. Weather predicting is a science but nonetheless is driven by GOD, so no one on earth can do more than use science to take a best guess. Just what you are doing Steve, thanks for using the science and giving the credit to the BOSS in charge!
  • by Serena Location: Denison on Nov 12, 2007 at 06:18 AM
    I think this was very interesting. I don't really know much about weather until it happens, but this was cool to learn something new. Thanks Steve for the good job you do. Have a blessed day.
  • by Kaya Location: Durant on Nov 11, 2007 at 09:02 PM
    Weather is a science that depends on gathering data and then making a prediction based upon that data. Unfortunantly, there are people who do not understand this very complicated science. Steve, you are the best weather man that KXII has ever had.
  • by stephanie Location: sherman on Nov 11, 2007 at 08:15 PM
    Hi Steve. I moved here from Ohio in Feb. of this year. Now it is cold in Ohio. I will take what Texas has to offer.
  • by C. P Location: Whitesbor on Nov 9, 2007 at 04:41 PM
    Wow Amber!! Your comments are hostile. I'll trust Steve LaNore any day. Maybe you can find some type of stress relieving activity instead of posting these types of comments. While I don't know alot about weather systems, everything I've read about LaNina states the winters are milder and drier. So far, that has been the case! Keep up the good work Steve!!
  • by Amber Location: Durant on Nov 9, 2007 at 09:37 AM
    This is Oklahoma and Texas weather you are talking about, it is almost impossible to predict weather in these states. The last time you said that we were going to have a warmer winter than usual we wound up getting 4-5 inches of snow and ice. The truth is you are just guessing and you don't know what it is going to do until it happens. Thanks for the info, but I will be willing to bet that you are wrong.
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