UPDATE: November 7, 2008
The indications are consistent with my earlier discussion: a more southerly storm track and at least two mid-level troughs moving by next week provide good chances for rain. While the timing this far out may vary a bit, look for rain Monday and again around the middle of the week. At last!
November 4, 2008
Pattern Change Expected: This would mean not as dry.
The extremely dry weather of the past two months may be about to end: the overall upper air pattern is likely to make at least a temporary shift to a regime that favors more rainfall for Texoma next week. The upper level flow has been one that pushes weather systems off to the northeast, leaving us generally high and dry, or with only skimpy rainfall, as each one passes.
The expected scenario during mid to late November would favor a greater number of upper troughs to come from the west. Most importantly, they would be moving eastward at a lower latitude (further south). This would tend to keep us from getting “dry slotted”, which has been the case for many systems since September.