Weekend Quagmire: UPDATED Friday afternoon (May 8)



UPDATE: 3:30pm Friday 8  May 1995

There's a significant threat for flooding rains this weekend. Latest projections and actual surface data show little change from the expected pattern. The main uncertainty still lies in how far south the front will get before stalling. Over-running to the north of the front will make for most of the rain on the cool side of the boundary, where we will be.

The Friday HPC map shown here paints a 5" rain max right along the Red River Valley. While the location of the "bullseye" will change with each forecast, it seems the elements are coming together as expected:

High moisture content in the air

Lifting source (front)

Weak steering currents (slow storm movement and front stalling)

In this case I truly hope I'm wrong but the odds are against it based on what the data shows.

Take Care,
Steve LaNore
Chief Meteorologist

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Comments are posted from viewers like you and do not always reflect the views of this station.
  • by David Location: Denison on May 11, 2009 at 12:01 PM
    Steve, I think I saw Noah building an ark today! Just curious, how much rain has fallen in Sherman and Denison since April 29th?
  • by leith Location: denison on May 8, 2009 at 06:41 PM
    Wow i hope this doesn't cause the lake to go over spillway or maybe get close. How much u think the lake will go up after this rain event Steve.
  • by Ron Location: Howe on May 7, 2009 at 09:12 AM
    Quagmire, indeed. Even though Howe is the highest elevation in the county, we can still collect water and the backyard gets a little soupy. But the fig tree loves. As do the old-fashioned roses. And the Canis is coming up as it should.
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