(This blog might get some folks upset, but please realize the opinion given below is based on the available information we have and is consistent with the meteorology of the event. Here goes.)
I had received several e-mails and phone calls from viewers convinced that a tornado caused the June 3, 2009 wind damage event in Durant. I do not believe this is the case. Here’s why:
I spoke with Marlin Blankenship of Bryan County Emergency Management; he personally conducted a damage survey; he said there was no indication of a consistent “circulation” within the damage.
The radar data from before and after the event supports this: A strong (but not severe) thunderstorm was approaching Durant from the west-northwest at 3:36a.m. It “spiked” very quickly and then collapsed shortly thereafter.
The wind came from the front of the storm, while a very high percentage of tornadoes come from the rear quadrant. It is likely that this sudden decrease of the storm intensity produced the destructive down-burst, more commonly known as a microburst, of straight-line winds. These may have exceeded 70mph, which is sufficient to knock over large trees.
The saturated ground conditions from recent rains likely contributed to the trees falling with less wind than it would take in dry conditions.
Good folks have said that they saw the trees “turning” or “spinning”, proving it was a tornado.
However, even straight-line wind currents twist and tumble as they interact with buildings, trees, other air currents, and the ground itself; this is not a reliable guide to whether it was a tornado or not.
Finally, the sound of a locomotive has often been offered as “proof” of a tornado. If you will consider that the tornado makes these sounds because of strong winds, a straight-line gust of sufficient velocity is likely to make a loud noise too.
The three most accurate ways to determine tornado versus not tornado is:
1) Was a tornado spotted by credible eyewitnesses? Of course this is the best way.
2) The damage path: does it “fan out”, but generally all point within 90 degrees of the same direction (such as NE, E or SE), or does it have a clear circular pattern of “throw” around the entire compass as you travel along the path?
3) Was there a hook or velocity signature on the radar?
The Durant storm fails all three tornado tests. It was very likely a microburst.