Slight Risk of Severe: With Commentary

There will be a risk of severe weather as a cold front and several small upper troughs interact with hot and humid air.

The highest severe threat will be Wednesday evening into Thursday.

There seems to be a misunderstanding on what “slight risk” means.

Severe storm categories (slight, medium and high) take into account a large zone; the risk given for destructive weather is defined as within 25 miles of any one point inside the zone. 

Example: Texoma had a wind damage event a few weeks ago; someone wrote in to say trees were blown over and this made “slight risk” bogus.

Even though there was a damage event (near Antlers), it was the only one in our entire area. The SPC categories are defined as the risk for any one point within a 25-mile circle. So slight risk does not mean there won’t be any damaging weather, it means the odds for any one street or neighborhood are very small.

When a moderate or high risk day comes around, greater thunderstorm coverage and intensity will be expected.

Take Care,
Steve LaNore

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