UPDATE: Friday 18 Sep 2009 (map updated as well)
Little has changed regarding the front's arrival. Given the configuration of jet stream, moisture profile, and strength of the front, strong to severe storms are possible along this boundary Monday night and/or Tuesday. Be sure and tune in to Aimee for updates this weekend.
It’s been a mighty soggy time as of late and we could use a break from the rain to let the soils dry a bit.
A drier pattern may be evolving for next week. The map above shows the approximate position of a cold front Sunday evening.
High pressure building in should transport a less humid air mass in behind that frontal boundary.
This situation is not guaranteed, however; the southern jet has become quite active with many upper lows forming over the past two weeks. There’s some potential for another one of these to lumber along with clouds and rain behind the front for next week, but the odds are better that an open trough will push the front through and then move eastward instead of lingering.
Since the odds favor the drier solution, I’m taking the rain out of the forecast after Tuesday.