Several recent cold fronts have brought precious little rain to most of Texoma, and this trend is likely to continue through the end of September.
The drought conditions on both sides of the Red eased a little in spotty locations that received rainfall Sep 13-14, but the vast majority of Oklahoma and north Texas remain very dry:
As seen above, drought conditions range from “moderate” on the Texas side of the river to “Exceptional” in the Ada area.
Northwesterly flow aloft drives several fronts through, but southwesterly surface flow ahead of each does not bode well for significant rainfall through the end of the month.
The good news is that a developing El Nino should offer better odds for rainfall by late October and through November. Above average precipitation is at a better-than-even money chance through the winter as well.