March can be a cold month with record lows in the single digits and numerous entries for snow; in fact, a wet snow fell last year on March 21st, and two heavy snows fell three days apart in Texoma March 6th and 9th, 2008.
Given the evolving pattern, serious cold as we saw Feb 1-12 is not expected within the next week. This outlook is based on a west-to-east steering flow setting up aloft. The blocking pattern which allowed for NW winds to push frigid air into the Red River Valley has completely morphed into the more stable flow (see maps below):
We will have a southern-stream storm system move by Sunday/Monday with rain followed by a quick tap of cold air behind it, but overall temperatures for next week should near to above average.
What about “real” spring weather? Historically speaking, we’re still about three to four weeks away from our average last freeze date, but it’s looking mostly mild over the next seven days (Monday will be quite windy and cool).
March 1st falls on a Tuesday this year; we’re looking at a lamb-like start to the month.