Fall Weather Fans Rejoice!

Fall weather fans will have cause to delight in outdoor conditions right into the weekend.

A series of large mid-level lows to our east will circulate cool Canadian air southward. A warmer pattern under the upper high should remain to our west. The interaction between the high and the low provides a very dry storm track; surface high pressure has played its part by pushing all significant moisture deep into the southern and eastern Gulf.

With northerly surface flow expected to keep Gulf moisture far removed until next week, there’s little reason to expect any rain. In fact, skies should be mostly clear with cool nights and warm days. The only factor that presents a bit of uncertainty is the large upper low (blue arrows) to our east.

If this were to move further west than expected, it could make things more on the cloudy side or even bring a little light rain. However, the odds of this are low based on the steering pattern. Sometimes a strong upper system can overcome dry lower layer of air and utilize moisture higher in the air to “squeeze out” some rain, but again this possibility appears very small given the evolving scenario.

So my confidence is high that “open your windows” weather will hang around at least through the weekend.

Take Care,

Steve LaNore

Chief Meteorologist KXII-TV

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