June 2012 was warmer than average in Texoma, and July will likely be hotter than average as well.
The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) July 2012 outlook continues the trend we’ve seen since February: above normal temperatures.
A large area from Tennessee to eastern Kansas has a greater than 60% of warmer than average temperatures; this statistic is not as simple as it sounds. Sixty percent above average odds mean there’s only 40% “left” for the other two categories of below average and average.
So in reality, the odds are more than 2 to 1 in favor of a warmer than average July compared to average within the “A” zone shown on the map:
30-day temperature outlook for July 2012 / Climate Prediction Center
The outlook for Texoma is not quite as bleak, but the odds are 3 to 2 in favor of a warmer than normal July compared to a normal one. These are almost the same percentages we saw with the CPC June temperature outlook.
The good news: We are nowhere near the searing heat we were enduring in July of 2011, with no indication of such extreme heat over the next few weeks.