Next Rain Maker: Thu-Fri: UPDATE

 

 
UPDATE: Wed 10 Nov 2010 / 4:30p.m.
 
There's really not much change to my original Monday discussion except to add rain in for Sunday. A deep mid-level trough swings by with high rain chances, and possibly thunderstorms, Friday.
 
A second one moving our way  (upper left on map) suggests a cool rain for Sunday afternoon into Monday.
 
=================ORIGINAL DISCUSSION====================
 
 
Our next rainmaker should show up Thursday-Friday in the form of a mid-level trough and surface cold front.
 
Conditions ahead of this system will be quite mild, and definitely windy.  The Canadian high which brought the chilly weekend lows is east of us, and surface low pressure is to our west. Passing disturbances aloft will cause the surface gradient to ebb and flow. In general it will be a gusty period.
 
The models are quite consistent in the surface front and mid-level trough passing Friday-Saturday. It may rain part of Saturday but Sunday should be dry. (Newer indications are for rain developing by later in the day Sunday).
 
Take Care,
 
Steve LaNore
Chief Meteorologist
KXII-TV
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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  • by Jessica Location: Sherman tx on Nov 17, 2010 at 07:45 PM
    Steve,do you know if their is suppose to be a meteor shower in the morning?
  • by Steve LaNore Location: KXII-TV on Nov 16, 2010 at 02:27 PM
    Joe, The models are wildly inconsistent on the arctic air you speak of. However, the overall pattern and coldness of the building air mass suggests this as a possiblity. I'm not ready to jump on it this far out but am giving it a "fair" chance of being cold, but probably not super cold for Thanksgiving. Take Care, Steve
  • by Fonzie Location: Bugtussle on Nov 16, 2010 at 06:19 AM
    Farley owes Steve a Coke!
  • by Joe Location: Gainesville on Nov 14, 2010 at 12:59 PM
    Hey Steve, I hear there might be the first artic blast of the season around Thanksgiving. Any info on it?
  • by Steve LaNore on Nov 10, 2010 at 08:10 PM
    Farley, All of last year's snow events were forecast, and the temperatures for each were much colder than we're expecting next week. Amounts varied, but that's typical with any snow event. None of last years' snow events were surprises. Anyhow there is VERY CLOSE to zero chance of snow next week. -:) Take Care and thanks for reading, Steve
  • by Farley Macdough Location: Denison on Nov 10, 2010 at 03:47 PM
    That's what was forecasted a lot of last winter too. Sligh, slight chance of anything..then the day of..it's like wow we might get some. Anddd we ended up with over 20 inches of snow last season. whoop, whoop.
  • by Steve LaNore Location: KXII-TV on Nov 10, 2010 at 02:45 PM
    Snow is very unlikely next week although a cool rain is expected late Sunday-Monday. Low-level as well as cloud-level temperatures do not look cold enough for snow. The models really don't sugegst snow either. We'd need a lot more dynamical cooling than the situation suggests. So while there's always an exception I would give our chances of snow at less than 5%, and the chances of any accumulating at zero. Not too promising -:) Take Care, Steve
  • by Farley Macdough Location: Denison on Nov 10, 2010 at 08:14 AM
    Jim, You're right, it's going to snow next week...here in texoma! So you better prepare for it.
  • by Jim Location: durant on Nov 10, 2010 at 12:54 AM
    Yep, it's gonna snow next week......IN DENVER
  • by Farley Macdough Location: Denison on Nov 9, 2010 at 08:53 PM
    Steve, I've been observing the latest model trends tonight and it looks like we have the chance of some very wet snow early next week. You better start checking those models and let me know what you think.
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