Rainfall Discussion for October 8,9




Rainfall forecast through Mon night clearly shows much heavier rain to our west.            Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC).

Friday 7 Oct 2011 / 5:30 p.m.

A major rain event is taking shape for western Oklahoma and Texas as a deep trough approaches Sunday and lingers into Monday.
Amounts may exceed 5 inches as you get a couple hundred miles west of I-35! The rain potential for Texoma will be highest in the west, and steadily decrease as you move eastward. 
The latest HPC rainfall outlook supports this forecast for the best rain coverage and amounts over the western third of Texoma. The heavy rain potential looks to be along and west of a line from Ada to Madill to Gainesville, where an inch to two inches of rain is possible Sunday-Monday.
Amounts will be in the zero to 1/4" range by the time you get to Paris, Hugo and Antlers. Please bear in mind that a slight shift in the trough's path will either boost or decrease rain totals.



Take Care,

 Steve LaNore

Chief Meteorologist



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Comments are posted from viewers like you and do not always reflect the views of this station.
  • by Monica Burchett Location: Tioga, TX on Oct 9, 2011 at 06:44 AM
    We had 1.25 inches in our rain gage this morning!!!
  • by Anonymous Location: durant on Oct 8, 2011 at 08:48 PM
    I'm kinda upset it got to durant and started going the other direction. i was looking forward to this rain all day. Is there any chance it will move back this direction?
  • by Chuck Location: Sherman on Oct 7, 2011 at 10:49 AM
    Does this blocking high to the east have any relationship with La Nina or is it just bad timing?
  • by Steve LaNore Location: KXII-TV on Oct 6, 2011 at 07:02 PM
    Chuck, Thank you so much for the kind thought! As for anonymous' question from Springer: I don't think Accuweather is going very far into uncharted territory with their forecast. The weather usually turns considerably colder by the end of October...even in "warm" years. So, I'd say that probably will happen to some degree. Take Care, Steve
  • by chuck Location: sherman on Oct 6, 2011 at 11:43 AM
    Thanks for these details. I appreciate knowing why. Very few forecasts any more go beyond what is happening outside right now.
  • by Anonymous Location: Springer on Oct 6, 2011 at 08:49 AM
    Ive been looking at Accuweather and it says its really going to start cooling off in a few weeks and looks like it might be staying like that.Do you think this will happen?
    • reply
      by Anonymous on Oct 6, 2011 at 11:41 AM in reply to
      I would say yes....this tends to naturally occur in fall moving toward winter.
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