Texoma is enjoying its quietest severe weather season since 2005. This contrasts nicely with the violent weather we've seen during the past few springs.
Major tornadoes raked the DFW Metroplex on April 3 of this year, and northwestern Oklahoma endured a rash of tornadoes April 14. By contrast, Texoma has seen very little severe weather and no tornadoes this year.
In fact, despite the two April outbreaks, and a big one March 3, the national tornado count will be near average by the end of May. A few bullet points:
Will our good fortune in Texoma continue? It’s impossible to say for sure, and it only takes one tornado to make a catastrophe. However, the overall pattern does not favor a major outbreak in the near future. An upper level ridge is deflecting the jet stream well to the north, and this pattern should continue through at least Memorial Day.
More good news: severe weather potential tends to drop rapidly in June each year as the jet retreats northward. A tornado can occur in any month but it seems Texoma has avoided any major events during severe weather season 2012.
In closing, let me caution you to please never ignore weather warnings. A little inconvenience during a violent storm or flood may pay off big-time in keeping you and others safe.