Fri 24 Dec 2010 / 5:30p.m.
With the Christmas forecast in the bag (OK…little pun there), I’m looking ahead to New Year’s Eve weather.
The computer model output is already showing fairly good consistency in bringing a lot of cold air over the western U.S. by mid-week.
Jet stream winds of over 150mph then amplify a “buckle” in the flow and carve out a big trough in the middle of the nation. This type of pattern favors the core of the colder air moving through the central and southern Plains, as opposed to the glancing blows we’ve experienced since Thanksgiving (discussion continues below map).
Q: What kind of weather would this bring to Texoma for New Year’s Eve?
A: Definitely cold and windy, with a question as to precipitation.
The primary factor would be arctic air, with lows in the teens and highs in the 30s if this pans out. As for winter precipitation potential, the upper low to the north favors a “dry slot” scenario which would mean light amounts of rain or snow. Of course…a lot can happen in the days in between.
For example, the Christmas forecast came out pretty good compared to my initial discussion on Dec 14th, but the dry Christmas Eve did not come to pass!
I will post each New Year’s Eve forecast update as a new blog. Look for an update Sunday.
Here’s Hoping You Have Blessed and Merry Christmas!
Chief Meteorologist / KXII-TV