Does a Hot May Mean a Hot Summer for Texoma?

Hottest May on Record….So What’s Our Summer Outlook?
Mon 4 June 2018

What a wild weather ride we’ve seen during the first half of 2018.

Texoma had its coldest April since 1997, only to be followed by the hottest May on record. The average temperature was 6.1 degrees above normal, bumping the previous hottest May, 1996, into second place.

Unseasonably strong upper-level high pressure and fairly dry soil conditions have allowed for the early-season boost in temperatures; we haven’t seen very many records but 29 of May’s 31 days experienced above average readings – quite a run of heat.

It’s tough to say what the summer will offer up as a whole, there’s good news and bad news:

>>> The good news: there seems to be little correlation between hot Mays and hot Junes and Julys; only three of the ten hottest Mays went on to have Top-10 hot Junes.

On the other hand, patterns like we have in place now (strong upper high) tend to change very slowly in the summer months, and with no El Nino effect, it’s likely to be a hotter than average summer

>>> And, fairly dry soils won't help things either, and as plants dry out it offers less resistance to daytime heating.

Overall, I think the conditions point to a hotter than average summer, but nothing like 2011.

Take Care,
Steve LaNore
Chief Meteorologist
News 12 / KXII-TV