Hot and Dry Wed-Thu; A Few Storms Possible Fri-Sat
4:30 p.m. Tuesday 28 June 2016
A weak “cold” frontal boundary passed to our south this morning, introducing a more stable air mass to Texoma. A few storms did pop today but coverage and intensity were much less than we saw Monday.
Look for a mostly clear night; drier air filtering into the eastern half of Texoma will allow for fairly pleasant conditions with lows in the mid to upper 60s. Farther west, low 70s will be the rule.
The next weather system to watch will be a Thursday night storm complex expected to form in eastern Colorado that could make it to the Red River Friday morning. However, this is far from certain as it’s a possible-but-not-ideal setup for this to happen.
Uncertainty lurks in the forecast for Sat-Mon: if the upper high builds overhead, we’d be very hot but rain-free for Holiday weekend. A second scenario is for the high to be weaker and possibly allowing a trough to kick up some showers. For now I will continue with shower chances Fri-Sat and no rain for Sun-Mon, but my confidence is only moderate until we get a clearer trend on how strong the upper high will get. The more intense the high, the less potential for rainfall.
Here are the numbers:
Tonight: Mostly clear, a little cooler….Lows 65 east to 73 west
Wednesday: Mostly sunny…..Highs 93 to 96
Thursday: Mostly sunny…..73/95
Friday: 30% Thunderstorms…..74/96
Saturday: 20% Thunderstorms…..75/97
Sunday: Mostly sunny…..77/98
Monday: Mostly sunny…..77/99
Tuesday: Mostly sunny…..77/99
News 12 / Weather Authority