UPDATE: 9:45 p.m.
Everything is looking pretty rock solid from my earlier forecast: a few scattered storms possible (mainly west of Highway 75) later tonight, scattered storms possible anywhere tomorrow with a threat of severe thunderstorms mainly from noon to 8 p.m...moving west to east with rain ending west of I-35 by 5 p.m. and in all areas before 10 p.m. The overall severe risk is slight. Have a good night - Steve
Severe Storm Potential Thursday, Fall Fantastic for the Weekend
5:00 p.m. Wed 1 October 2014
Look for a breezy, warm and humid night as low pressure develops to our northwest. Lows will run in the low to mid 70s. A few showers could form overnight mainly west of Highway 75, but odds are only 20%.
The main weather event comes Thursday as a mid-level trough and surface cold front pass through during the afternoon/evening. The Storm Prediction Center has all of Texoma within a “slight risk” zone for severe storms Thursday; the highest threat appears to be along and east of Highway 75 where the front will pass later in the day, allowing the air more time to become unstable.
There are a couple of unknowns: If less intense activity forms in the morning and skies run on the cloudy side, heating would be less and severe potential will be lower. Also there’s the frontal movement; if it speeds up or slows down that will affect the severe risk zone.
The front breezes through during the late afternoon/evening and all precipitation should end mid-evening or so (in the south).
Gusty northerly winds press a much drier and cooler air mass in for the weekend. Sunshine and windy conditions are in my Friday forecast. It should be a great night for Friday Night Blitz football with quite cool temperatures in the upper 50s and lower 60s by the end of the games. It looks like the air may be dry enough to allow some 40s on Saturday morning. Cool nights continue Sunday and Monday, but daytime highs gradually rise back to the 90-degree range by early next week.
Here are the numbers:
Tonight: Low Clouds Form Late…..Lows 70 to 74
Thursday: 4 0% Thunderstorms to 80% East, Some Severe…..Highs 87 to 90
Friday: Mostly Sunny, Windy and Cooler…..55/79
Saturday: Sunny Skies…..48/81
Sunday: Sunny Skies …..55/86
Monday: Sunny Skies …..60/89
Tuesday: Mostly Sunny, Windy…..64/90
Wednesday: Partly Cloudy, Windy…..66/90
Stay tuned to News 12 for updates throughout the day as the storms develop and move through.
News 12 / Weather Authority