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UPDATE: 10 p.m.
No changes to the forecast. Have a great night- Steve

Stormy Saturday, Windy Through Tuesday
5:00 p.m. Thu 20 Nov 2014

Look for a windy time of it the next few days along with high potential for heavy rainfall Saturday.

A weak impulse scoots through the jet stream late tonight into Friday and offers the potential for some showers mainly Friday morning.

A much stronger mid-level trough moving eastward follows the Friday morning system and begins to impact our skies Friday night. Rain will begin to form again, and this will be the main event. Locally heavy thunderstorms can be expected through the day Saturday as the trough passes overhead. Precipitation potential continues to hover in the one to two inch range with some isolated totals to three inches possible.

Surface low pressure winds up across the Midwest Sun-Mon making for a windy period in the wake of our soggy Saturday, but the rain is expected to end early Sunday. A reinforcing surge of cold air arrives Tuesday but quickly moderates on Wednesday.

The Thanksgiving forecast is very unclear at this point: Two models show it to be windy and mild while the ECMWF, which often does the best with long-range cold fronts, show a warm morning followed by a windy and cold afternoon. Given the recent cold outbreaks, I expect the arctic pool of air to be somewhat depleted by next week and am going with the warmer forecast for now. Something to watch for sure…

Tonight: 30% Rain West to 60% East Late…Lows 47 to 52
Friday: Windy, 40% Showers Day, 80% Night…..Highs 61 east to 67 west
Saturday: 100% Rain/Thunderstorms…..55/64
Sunday: Decreasing Clouds, Windy …..54/70
Monday: Sunny, Windy…..42/62
Tuesday: Mostly Sunny, Breezy…..37/55
Wednesday: Sunny…..32/60
Thanksgiving Day…..Increasing Clouds, Windy…..39/63

May You Have a Safe and Fun Weekend!

Steve LaNore
Chief Meteorologist
News 12 / Weather Authority

Arctic air for Nov 11 to 13?

Updated: 11/07/2014 - Very cold air builds in northern Canada and heads into the southern Plains by November 10 or 11.

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