UPDATE: 9:50 p.m. No changes to the forecast. Have a great night - Steve ===========================================
Dry Pattern Entrenched… 5:00 p.m. Tue 1 September 2015
A mid-level trough remains stationary along a line from Little Rock to San Antonio, and Texoma continues on the dry side of this system. The computer models are consistent in pushing this system farther away from us as the week wears on, and replacing it with an upper high. This pattern is one for clear nights and sunny days.
As for temperatures, the high provides a strong sinking motion in the atmosphere, which get things a bit hotter by the weekend. Meanwhile, southerly wind flow is expected to boost the surface moisture a bit, making for hot and humid conditions.
Dry air aloft above the moist surface layer limits any rainfall potential, so it looks like the drought will continue to gradually get worse. Outdoor burning is banned across north Texas, with the fire danger high area wide.
A frontal system arriving next Tuesday brings a chance of rain late on Labor Day and into Tuesday; that’s our first precipitation potential in my forecast.
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