Mariners vs. Rangers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread - September 30

Published: Sep. 30, 2023 at 12:45 PM CDT|Updated: Sep. 30, 2023 at 5:47 PM CDT
Saturday's contest at T-Mobile Park has the Seattle Mariners (87-73) taking on the Texas Rangers (89-71) at 7:15 PM ET (on September 30). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-3 victory for the Mariners, so it should be a tight matchup.
The probable pitchers are Luis Castillo (14-8) for the Mariners and Andrew Heaney (10-6) for the Rangers.
Mariners vs. Rangers Game Info & Odds
- When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET
- Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
- How to Watch on TV: FOX
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
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Mariners vs. Rangers Score Prediction
Our prediction for this game is Mariners 5, Rangers 4.
Total Prediction for Mariners vs. Rangers
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Explore More About This Game
Mariners Performance Insights
- The Mariners have played as the favorite in five of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
- In its last 10 games with a total, Seattle and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
- In their last game with a spread, the Mariners covered the spread.
- This season, the Mariners have won 62 out of the 106 games, or 58.5%, in which they've been favored.
- Seattle has entered 64 games this season favored by -145 or more and is 38-26 in those contests.
- The Mariners have a 59.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Seattle has scored 756 runs (4.7 per game) this season, which ranks 12th in MLB.
- The Mariners have the second-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.76).
Rangers Performance Insights
- Over the past 10 games, the Rangers have been named underdog just one time and left with a loss in that contest.
- In its last 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, Texas and its opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Rangers' previous 10 games have not had a spread posted by sportsbooks.
- The Rangers have been victorious in 21, or 46.7%, of the 45 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Texas has come away with a win seven times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 45.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Texas is the third-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 5.5 runs per game (875 total).
- The Rangers have the 17th-ranked ERA (4.31) in the majors this season.
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Mariners Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
September 25 | Astros | L 5-1 | Luis Castillo vs Justin Verlander |
September 26 | Astros | W 6-2 | George Kirby vs Cristian Javier |
September 27 | Astros | L 8-3 | Bryce Miller vs Framber Valdez |
September 28 | Rangers | W 3-2 | Logan Gilbert vs Jordan Montgomery |
September 29 | Rangers | W 8-0 | Bryan Woo vs Nathan Eovaldi |
September 30 | Rangers | - | Luis Castillo vs Andrew Heaney |
October 1 | Rangers | - | George Kirby vs Jon Gray |
Rangers Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
September 25 | @ Angels | W 5-1 | Jon Gray vs Patrick Sandoval |
September 26 | @ Angels | L 9-3 | Cody Bradford vs Reid Detmers |
September 27 | @ Angels | W 5-0 | Dane Dunning vs Griffin Canning |
September 28 | @ Mariners | L 3-2 | Jordan Montgomery vs Logan Gilbert |
September 29 | @ Mariners | L 8-0 | Nathan Eovaldi vs Bryan Woo |
September 30 | @ Mariners | - | Andrew Heaney vs Luis Castillo |
October 1 | @ Mariners | - | Jon Gray vs George Kirby |
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